HEAD TREKS: Icing The EV
Some
months ago a journalist for a prominent Canadian newspaper published an article
in support of battery electric vehicles (EV) as a more environmentally friendly
alternative to internal combustion engines (ICE). This blog serves to rebut his
thesis.
The
journalist’s argument falls flat for a number reasons. Firstly his statement
“in an age of global warming” presupposes as yet unproven scientific “fact”
rather than opinion, thereby invalidating his underlying argument of the
absolute superior morality of the battery electric vehicle over the internal
combustion engine. Furthermore, the current diminishment in sunspot activity
may actually be signalling the onset of a minor ice age, with future global
warming being required to cope therewith; but that remains for another essay.
Secondly,
in delineating his operational savings, he fails to take into account the
massive government subsidies being thrown at the electric vehicle industry that
completely neutralize, if not completely obliterate these “savings.” Lastly, he
fails to recognize that electricity is not a natural element but must be
generated.
Using
the most recent data from the International Energy Agency, it can be noted that
in 2014, world electrical generation was sourced 40% from coal, 21.6% from
natural gas, 10.6% from nuclear reactors, 16.4% from hydro, 4.3% from oil and
6.3% from solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and waste. While these percentages
may change over time, they are unlikely to materially do so over the 20 -25
year targeted times espoused by a number of governments for change from ICE to
EV.
Ergo,
and devoid of many other practicalities tied to the envisaged change, notably
the millions of new charging stations required to service the forecast two
billion vehicles by that time, the planet must await the invention of a truly
efficient and ICE comparable battery. It can be argued that the world’s largest
scientific failure has been the failure to invent and develop on a commercial
scale such a battery. That over the time-framed “on the road to Damascus” this is
likely to happen is conjectural while in the meantime, misplaced government
ideologies continue the nearly bankrupting level of subsidies required to
“compete” with ever cleaner internal combustion engines.
As
a competitor offering the absolute same convenience and efficiency as the
internal combustion engine, the lithium ion battery is a joke; and with its
explosive tendencies, sometimes a dangerous one. Furthermore, like oil and gas,
electricity must be stored for future use, and there is yet to be invented a
battery of practical application in that regard.
Whether
oil, gas, etc. is put directly into car engines or to produce the energy
required to power electric vehicles, therefore becomes an exercise in a tight
circle of contradiction, if not farce; which of course is the strength of
Gorism, Suzukism, Muskism et al.
Copyright
© 2018 Ian de W. Semple
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